Michigan House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John R. Moolenaar a 100% chance of winning the Michigan House 2024 primary. John R. Moolenaar won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John R. Moolenaar — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Ben Dejong — 0% model odds
  3. Michael Lynch — 0% model odds
  4. Scott Adams — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts