Michigan House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jack Bergman an 89% chance of winning the Michigan House 2024 primary. Jack Bergman won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jack Bergman — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Callie Barr — 11% model odds
  3. Andrew Gale — 0% model odds
  4. Liz Hakola — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts