Maryland House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jamie Raskin a 100% chance of winning the Maryland House 2024 primary. Jamie Raskin won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jamie Raskin — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Cheryl Riley — 0% model odds
  3. Nancy Wallace — 0% model odds
  4. Other Write-Ins — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts