Maryland House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sarah Elfreth a 100% chance of winning the Maryland House 2024 primary. Sarah Elfreth won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sarah Elfreth — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Miguel Barajas — 0% model odds
  3. Other Write-Ins — 0% model odds
  4. Robert J. Steinberger — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts