Maryland House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Andy Harris an 89% chance of winning the Maryland House 2024 primary. Andy Harris won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Andy Harris — 89% model odds (won)
2. Blane H. Miller Iii — 11% model odds
3. Joshua W. O’Brien — 0% model odds
4. Other Write-Ins — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts