Maine House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jared F. Golden an 81% chance of winning the Maine House 2024 primary. Jared F. Golden won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jared F. Golden — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Austin Theriault — 19% model odds
  3. Exhausted Ballots — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts