Kentucky House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Morgan Mcgarvey a 100% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2024 primary. Morgan Mcgarvey won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Morgan Mcgarvey — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Mike Craven — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts