Kentucky House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brett Guthrie a 100% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2024 primary. Brett Guthrie won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brett Guthrie — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Hank Linderman — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts