Kansas House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Derek Schmidt a 100% chance of winning the Kansas House 2024 primary. Derek Schmidt won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Derek Schmidt — 100% model odds (won)
  2. John Hauer — 0% model odds
  3. Nancy Boyda — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts