Iowa House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Randy Feenstra a 100% chance of winning the Iowa House 2024 primary. Randy Feenstra won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Randy Feenstra — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Ryan Melton — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts