Iowa House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Zachary Nunn a 69% chance of winning the Iowa House 2024 primary. Zachary Nunn won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Zachary Nunn — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Lanon Baccam — 31% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts