Iowa House 2024 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ashley Hinson a 56% chance of winning the Iowa House 2024 primary. Ashley Hinson won, matching the model's top pick.
- Ashley Hinson — 56% model odds (won)
- Sarah Corkery — 44% model odds
- Jody Madlom Puffett — 0% model odds