Iowa House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mariannette Miller-Meeks a 67% chance of winning the Iowa House 2024 primary. Mariannette Miller-Meeks won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mariannette Miller-Meeks — 67% model odds (won)
  2. Christina Bohannan — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts