Indiana House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark Messmer a 100% chance of winning the Indiana House 2024 primary. Mark Messmer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mark Messmer — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Erik Hurt — 0% model odds
  3. K. Richard Fitzlaff — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts