Indiana House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jefferson Shreve a 95% chance of winning the Indiana House 2024 primary. Jefferson Shreve won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jefferson Shreve — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Cynthia \"Cinde\" Wirth — 5% model odds
  3. James Michael Sceniak — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts