Indiana House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Victoria Spartz an 88% chance of winning the Indiana House 2024 primary. Victoria Spartz won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Victoria Spartz — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Deborah A. Pickett — 12% model odds
  3. Lauri Shillings — 0% model odds
  4. Robby Slaughter — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts