Indiana House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave James R. Baird a 100% chance of winning the Indiana House 2024 primary. James R. Baird won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. James R. Baird — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Ashley Groff — 0% model odds
  3. Derrick Holder — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts