Indiana House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Marlin A. Stutzman a 95% chance of winning the Indiana House 2024 primary. Marlin A. Stutzman won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Marlin A. Stutzman — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Kiley M. Adolph — 5% model odds
  3. Jarrad Lancaster — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts