Illinois House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nikki Budzinski a 100% chance of winning the Illinois House 2024 primary. Nikki Budzinski won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Nikki Budzinski — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Joshua Loyd — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts