Illinois House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Raja Krishnamoorthi a 100% chance of winning the Illinois House 2024 primary. Raja Krishnamoorthi won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Raja Krishnamoorthi — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Mark Rice — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts