Illinois House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jesús G. \"Chuy\" García a 100% chance of winning the Illinois House 2024 primary. Jesús G. \"Chuy\" García won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jesús G. \"Chuy\" García — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Ed Hershey — 0% model odds
  3. Lupe Castillo — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts