Idaho House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael K. Simpson a 100% chance of winning the Idaho House 2024 primary. Michael K. Simpson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michael K. Simpson — 100% model odds (won)
  2. David Roth — 0% model odds
  3. Idaho Law - Carta Sierra — 0% model odds
  4. Over Votes — 0% model odds
  5. Todd Corsetti — 0% model odds
  6. Under Votes — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts