Hawaii House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ed Case a 100% chance of winning the Hawaii House 2024 primary. Ed Case won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ed Case — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Blank Votes — 0% model odds
  3. Over Votes — 0% model odds
  4. Patrick C. Largey — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts