Georgia House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jeff Criswell a 67% chance of winning the Georgia House 2024 primary. Lucy Mcbath won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Jeff Criswell — 67% model odds
  2. Lucy Mcbath — 33% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts