Florida House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Carlos A. Gimenez an 89% chance of winning the Florida House 2024 primary. Carlos A. Gimenez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Carlos A. Gimenez — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Phil Ehr — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts