Florida House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Frederica S. Wilson a 100% chance of winning the Florida House 2024 primary. Frederica S. Wilson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Frederica S. Wilson — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Jesus Gabriel Navarro — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts