Florida House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Byron Donalds a 100% chance of winning the Florida House 2024 primary. Byron Donalds won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Byron Donalds — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Kari L. Lerner — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts