Florida House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kathy Castor a 100% chance of winning the Florida House 2024 primary. Kathy Castor won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kathy Castor — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Christopher Bradley — 0% model odds
  3. Nathaniel T. Snyder — 0% model odds
  4. Robert \"Rocky\" Rochford — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts