Florida House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Darren Soto a 69% chance of winning the Florida House 2024 primary. Darren Soto won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Darren Soto — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Thomas Chalifoux — 31% model odds
  3. Marcus Carter — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts