Florida House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Aaron Bean a 100% chance of winning the Florida House 2024 primary. Aaron Bean won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Aaron Bean — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Lashonda \"L. J.\" Holloway — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts