Florida House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Neal P. Dunn a 100% chance of winning the Florida House 2024 primary. Neal P. Dunn won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Neal P. Dunn — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Yen Bailey — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts