Delaware House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sarah Mcbride a 100% chance of winning the Delaware House 2024 primary. Sarah Mcbride won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sarah Mcbride — 100% model odds (won)
  2. John J. Whalen Iii — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts