Connecticut House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jahana Hayes a 69% chance of winning the Connecticut House 2024 primary. Jahana Hayes won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jahana Hayes — 69% model odds (won)
  2. George Logan — 31% model odds
  3. Working Families — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts