Connecticut House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave James A. Himes a 94% chance of winning the Connecticut House 2024 primary. James A. Himes won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. James A. Himes — 94% model odds (won)
  2. Michael Goldstein — 6% model odds
  3. Benjamin Wesley — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts