Colorado House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Yadira Caraveo a 69% chance of winning the Colorado House 2024 primary. Gabe Evans won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Yadira Caraveo — 69% model odds
  2. Gabe Evans — 31% model odds (won)
  3. Chris Baum — 0% model odds
  4. Susan Patricia Hall — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts