Colorado House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lauren Boebert an 82% chance of winning the Colorado House 2024 primary. Lauren Boebert won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lauren Boebert — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Trisha Calvarese — 18% model odds
  3. Frank Atwood — 0% model odds
  4. Hannah Goodman — 0% model odds
  5. Paul Noel Fiorino — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts