Arkansas House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eric A. \"Rick\" Crawford a 100% chance of winning the Arkansas House 2024 primary. Eric A. \"Rick\" Crawford won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Eric A. \"Rick\" Crawford — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Rodney Govens — 0% model odds
  3. Steve G. Parsons — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts