Arizona House 2024 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Raúl M. Grijalva a 100% chance of winning the Arizona House 2024 primary. Raúl M. Grijalva won, matching the model's top pick.
- Raúl M. Grijalva — 100% model odds (won)
- Daniel Francis Butierez, Sr. — 0% model odds