Arizona House 2024 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Juan Ciscomani an 82% chance of winning the Arizona House 2024 primary. Juan Ciscomani won, matching the model's top pick.
- Juan Ciscomani — 82% model odds (won)
- Kirsten Engel — 18% model odds
- Athena Eastwood — 0% model odds