Arizona House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Greg Stanton a 56% chance of winning the Arizona House 2024 primary. Greg Stanton won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Greg Stanton — 56% model odds (won)
  2. Kelly Cooper — 44% model odds
  3. Vincent Beck-Jones — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts