Arizona House 2024 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Yassamin Ansari a 100% chance of winning the Arizona House 2024 primary. Yassamin Ansari won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Yassamin Ansari — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Alan Aversa — 0% model odds
  3. Jeff Zink — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts